Greenland and the Minerals That Could Decide Europe’s Green Dream

Since Donald Trump once again said he was interested in Greenland, speculation has resurfaced about why the world’s largest island suddenly commands so much attention. One of many answers lies less in surface and military strategies, but beneath the ground. Literally.

“Rare earths and strategic metals are a hot topic right now because they are essential to technologies we already depend on,” explains Dr. Patrick Conway, PhD in physical metallurgy in metals and rocks. These materials are used in everything from smartphones and electric cars to wind turbines and semiconductors and “you really can’t use other elements for this”. Once a technology is built around them, replacing them is not simple. In simpler words: the raw materials that power modern life.

But what in the world are rare earths and why do they matter so much?

Often referred to as REEs, rare earth elements are small ingredients with an outsized impact. They are used in powerful magnets, batteries, electronics, semiconductors and defence systems. Most modern technologies depend on them in some way, and new uses are constantly being developed.

They are called “rare” not only because they are hard to find, but as Dr. Conway explained, they are really difficult to extract, hard to process and hard to replace — and incredibly expensive. If supply tightens or prices rise, entire industries feel the consequences.

An example of one strategic element that recently proved extremely valuable for new technology is Hafnium (Hf) — a mixture of metals used to make strong materials for electronics, machinery, and other applications. Until recently, it was affordable enough to use in these alloys. However, “in the last couple of years, Hf was found to be extremely good in semiconductors so the demand skyrocketed and so did the cost because of the limited amount. It meant alloys we designed and produced before 2018 with Hf are basically unsellable because of the cost of Hf in it”, as described by Conway.

A rare discovery in Northern Sweden

“But this tension with REEs isn’t new”, he says as he recalls a major discovery in 2023 in Northern Sweden when the state-owned mining company LKAB announced what could be the largest known deposit of rare earth metals in Europe, located near Kiruna, far north of the Arctic Circle. The discovery contains more than one million tonnes of rare earth oxides. This deposit was seen as a huge win for Europe to become less dependent on China for these elements.

Even Swedish leaders celebrated this news as a strategic breakthrough. At the time, Energy and Business Minister Ebba Busch said that electrification and Europe’s push for greater independence from Russia and China would begin “in the mine,” stressing hard that the green transition depended on access to minerals and that Sweden’s mining sector had an important role to play. 

Europe’s dependency problem 

Europe does not currently mine rare earths at scale. Despite Sweden’s discovery, the continent still imports nearly all of the rare earth elements and other critical minerals it uses, with China by far the dominant producer and processor worldwide.

This dependency has long worried European policymakers. Green technologies, from electric vehicles to wind power, require a steady supply of materials that Europe does not control. Even large discoveries like Kiruna take years to turn into actual production. Permits must be approved, infrastructure built and environmental reviews completed — a process that can take a decade or more.

For Sweden, the Kiruna deposit is a major opportunity, but also a reminder of how long and complex the path from rock finding to finished product can be.

Why pay attention to Greenland until now?

Europe’s interest in Greenland did not appear overnight. As demand for green technologies has surged, particularly in the Nordic countries with the green transition, so has the need for reliable access to raw materials.

Greenland is believed to hold large quantities of critical minerals, including rare earths and graphite, which is essential for electric vehicle batteries. According to geological assessments, 25 of the 34 raw materials classified as critical by the EU are found in Greenland. These resources remain largely untapped due to harsh weather conditions, limited infrastructure and high costs.

Greenland has already taken cautious steps. It recently approved a 30-year mining licence for an EU-backed graphite project at Amitsoq, a move seen as strategically important for Europe’s supply chains.

Trump and geopolitics makes the vulnerability visible… and kind of urgent

Europe’s reliance on China for critical minerals has become harder to ignore amid rising geopolitical tensions. That vulnerability moved even more into the spotlight when US President Donald Trump publicly suggested that the United States should take control of Greenland — comments that sparked alarm around the Globe, and especially among European countries.

Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson made his position clear:

“We will not allow ourselves to be blackmailed. Only Denmark and Greenland decide on issues concerning Denmark and Greenland. I will always stand up for my country, and for our allied neighbors. This is an EU issue that concerns many more countries than those now being singled out. Sweden is now having intensive discussions with other EU countries, Norway and the UK for a joint response”, he wrote on X on January 17, 2026.

Kristersson described the rhetoric as unacceptable and made clear that only Denmark and Greenland have the right to decide Greenland’s future, warning against intimidation and economic pressure.

More than a mining story

Kiruna’s discovery showed Europe that the continent can uncover the resources it needs to power electric cars, wind turbines, and green technologies. Greenland, by contrast, illustrates how uncertain and complex this path remains.

For Europe, and for Sweden, the challenge is bigger than mining alone. It is about building a sustainable green transition that doesn’t compromise values, alliances, or the planet itself. In the end, the fate of Europe’s green ambitions may pivot not just on what lies underground, but on how wisely the continent navigates the road above it.

Accessing these materials involves politics, international cooperation, and environmental responsibility — but perhaps most critically of all, geopolitical stability. Which, it turns out, is also rare to find, to cultivate, and to maintain.

Explaining the strength of European populism

Why does right-wing populism appear so strong in Europe?

In a recent sign of its success, a populist party led by billionaire businessman Andrej Babis won parliamentary elections in the Czech Republic in October. Other European Union (EU) countries Hungary and Italy also have populist leaders.

In France, the government of centrist president Emmanuel Macron narrowly survived a no-confidence vote. The government has been flip-flopping after Prime Minister Sébastien Lecornu resigned after 26 days, only to return four days later. Macron faces a challenge in the polls from the far-right National Rally, led by Marine Le Pen.

The populist Reform UK is also doing strongly in opinion polls, while Germany’s right-wing AfD party has won state elections in the past year.

The rise of European populism is hard to counteract, because of the continent’s economic performance. Europe is lagging in both technology and  manufacturing, says Ronen Palan, professor of international politics at City St George’s, University of London.

“The fundamental problem that Europe faces is that the fourth industrial revolution skipped it,” Palan told Yuvoice in an interview.

“You have the American companies,  the Magnificent Seven – Meta, Apple etc. There is nothing in Europe remotely like that. Manufacturing excellence is now in China – China is far advanced. Europe is squeezed in between. Without a solution to that problem, we are talking about economic stagnation – Europe becomes a tourist attraction.”

The first industrial revolution started in Britain in the eighteenth century with inventions such as the steam engine.  The second industrial revolution of the late nineteenth century got a boost from the expansion of electricity, while computers led the third industrial wave of the late twentieth century.

The Magnificent Seven U.S. tech companies have stormed ahead in the U.S. stock market in recent years, helped by their role in the development of artificial intelligence.

Populist parties are offering little practical to address these economic concerns, but are playing on people’s sense of the precariousness of their lives, according to Palan.

Laggardness in Europe is also nothing new, he adds.

“Similar events took place in the 1970s. The European car industry was buffeted by the Japanese, the Americans were pulling ahead, the Americans and the Japanese were competing with one another. The answer was the common market and the single market, the creation of European champions, European competitors – we are in the same situation now.”

It has become harder for Europe to pull together as one force since one of its biggest economies, Britain, left the European Union following the Brexit vote, although Britain and Europe continue to collaborate on geopolitical issues, Palan says.

“Brexit created an institutional gap. The fact that Britain is out weakened Europe and weakens Britain,” he said, though he added that: “it doesn’t mean that if Britain were part of Europe, they would find a solution.”

The mood is not all going one way. A pro-European Union party won elections in September in the eastern European country of Moldova. Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni faced a general strike and major protests in September and October following her refusal to recognise the state of Palestine, in contrast to other EU countries such as France and Spain. Left-wing as well as right-wing parties are also popular in France.

However, Palan points out that the rhetoric of both left-wing and right-wing parties is often similar, as right-wing parties such as France’s National Rally and Reform UK also promote strong intervention by the state. British think tank Chatham House said in an October report, that the National Rally’s economic policies were “closer in tone to French Socialist icon Jean Jaurès than to the Iron Lady (former Conservative British Prime Minister Margaret Thatcher)”.

These right-wing populist groups are taking their lead from U.S. President Donald Trump, whose language comes straight from the Marxist playbook, according to Palan.

“The Deep State is a Marxist concept, the idea that there is a small cabal of people – the bourgeoisie – controlling the state, and that Trump represents the working class against the entrenched state,” said Palan, adding that Reform UK leader Nigel Farage “is also adopting Marxist language – it’s very confusing.”

Francesco Rigoli, a political psychologist at City St George’s, University of London, says Europe’s biggest economies, Britain, France and Germany, could all have populist parties in government in a few years.

“The level of polarisation remains extreme,” he told Yuvoice. “There’s a feeling that the traditional parties have disappointed, that they have not fulfilled expectations. There’s a feeling that Europe is in crisis.”